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dpkg
September 11th, 2007, 01:21 PM
Well It will be very nice to hear your opinions
"Where do you see ubuntu in 10 years from now?"
"What do you think overall about linux, the awareness of linux will higher?"
"Linux not for gamers on 10 years?..."
And the 1 Million Dollar question: " you will still running linux after 10 years???


Lets talk. :]

curuxz
September 11th, 2007, 01:24 PM
in under 2 years time I WILL have been running linux for 10 years. I defo will be running it in 10 years.


Linux will be dominant in 10 years, but I dont think it will one flavor, rather the idea of lots of distros depending on functions.

marco123
September 11th, 2007, 01:27 PM
On my PC.:)
I also see white haired bloggers claiming this will be the year of Linux... Again.:)

starcraft.man
September 11th, 2007, 01:46 PM
I can't even predict with any degree of certainty what happens in the next 20 minutes how on earth would I know what happens in the next 10 years?

dpkg
September 11th, 2007, 02:00 PM
I can't even predict with any degree of certainty what happens in the next 20 minutes how on earth would I know what happens in the next 10 years?

You would never know.
BUT
You can Guess

PmDematagoda
September 11th, 2007, 02:13 PM
There is a very good chance that Ubuntu would grow up to be one of the most user-friendly and powerful OSes in the world, with Microsoft somewhere near last place:lolflag:.

I really love Linux, it gives you the power to do anything(even to screw up your own computer;)), the problem with Windows is everything is hidden and automated which means it's very difficult to diagnose problems and to customise it.

Linux is gaining popularity since it's been financed by companies such as Canonical who have seen the very good potential in Linux, so definitely awareness will be higher.

Linux is improving, including in the field of gaming which will improve to a better standard in ten years, so I think Linux will not be a non-gaming OS(Personally I would hate it;))

Definitely, at the rate Linux is improving it's very difficult to imagine myself that I won't use Linux in 10 years, but of course I'll have to be open minded to other good OSes other than Linux.:)


curuxz:-
Linux will be dominant in 10 years, but I dont think it will one flavor, rather the idea of lots of distros depending on functions.

This is obvious, each Linux distro specialises in something, so I don't think they will all be merged to form one big OS which has a chance of making Linux less efficient, anyway I'm satisfied with Ubuntu so that's that..:)

Nano Geek
September 11th, 2007, 02:59 PM
In 10 years:

Microsoft, after several unsuccessful Windows releases starting with Vista back in 2007, is slowly declining. Bill Gates left the company nine years ago and his successor, Steve Ballmer, has been ruining the company and has been forced to give up his position as CEO.

Apple has just released their Quad-core iMac with the standard 30 inch screen and a five Terabyte harddrive. The iPod classic is now gone and is replaced with an iPod Touch with 100 GB of flash memory. They currently have 40% of the desktop computer market.

Ubuntu is now on version 17.04 and is beta testing 17.10, now with support for holographic displays. GNOME has released version 3 of their Desktop Enviroment with Compiz-Fusion built in. Ubuntu still fits on one CD and currently had 25% of the market.

You never know...

vexorian
September 11th, 2007, 03:18 PM
I see it switching from gnome to something else, can't predict what.

megamania
September 11th, 2007, 03:20 PM
In 10 years:
GNOME has released version 3 of their Desktop Enviroment with Compiz-Fusion built in.
That sounds way too optimistic... ;-)

tvrg
September 11th, 2007, 03:24 PM
sorry to be a party pooper, but my guess is that in 10 years time ubuntu will be surpassed by another distribution :)

I've seen it happen to red hat, mandrake/mandriva, gentoo and what not

There is always a hot distro of the moment, but usually it lasts until another distro comes up with a good idea and everybody runs to that one.

The good thing with linux is that you don't have to follow the herd and if you want to you can switch easily

I still have a debian and a fedora box running, and don't see any reason to switch, debian is great on my server and fedora is about on par with ubuntu (maybe even a better fit for the stuff I use that box for).

it's all good.....

a better question would be "where do you see linux in 10 years" (gnu/linux for the nitpickers :))

Nano Geek
September 11th, 2007, 04:57 PM
sorry to be a party pooper, but my guess is that in 10 years time ubuntu will be surpassed by another distribution :)

I've seen it happen to red hat, mandrake/mandriva, gentoo and what not

There is always a hot distro of the moment, but usually it lasts until another distro comes up with a good idea and everybody runs to that one.

The good thing with linux is that you don't have to follow the herd and if you want to you can switch easily

I still have a debian and a fedora box running, and don't see any reason to switch, debian is great on my server and fedora is about on par with ubuntu (maybe even a better fit for the stuff I use that box for).

it's all good.....

a better question would be "where do you see linux in 10 years" (gnu/linux for the nitpickers :))Was Gentoo ever a popular distro?

The other two were created for financial gain. Ubuntu, however, was started not to make money, but to create a user-friendly distro.

I don't see Ubuntu leaving anytime soon.

tvrg
September 11th, 2007, 05:05 PM
http://www.eweek.com/article2/0,1759,1770228,00.asp


February 28, 2005
The Gentoo Foundation Inc.'s Gentoo Linux has quickly grown into one of the world's most popular Linux distributions. However, Gentoo's non-commercial status, as well as its reputation as a bleeding-edge distribution for Linux system tweakers, has so far dimmed its prospects for enterprise adoption.

It was where all the hype was.

The other 2 were made for profit, maybe, but they were free as in beer so that didn't matter

ubuntu will definitely still be around in 10 years time, but i wouldn't be surprised if there is a new "hot distro" who "gets it right this time" by then

don't take offence in my post :)

wersdaluv
September 11th, 2007, 05:09 PM
http://www.eweek.com/article2/0,1759,1770228,00.asp



It was where all the hype was.

The other 2 were made for profit, maybe, but they were free as in beer so that didn't matter

ubuntu will definitely still be around in 10 years time, but i wouldn't be surprised if there is a new "hot distro" who "gets it right this time" by then

don't take offence in my post :)

Yeah. It could have been the most popular distro, but Linux was not this popular back then.

Incense
September 11th, 2007, 05:10 PM
I also see white haired bloggers claiming this will be the year of Linux... Again.:)

:lolflag:

jrusso2
September 11th, 2007, 05:14 PM
I started using Linux around 11 years ago. Ten years ago the big distros were Slackware, Suse, Redhat, Debian and the newcomer Mandrake.

Linux was about 1% of the desktop. It was beginning to get corporate attention.

So I I had to make a prediction in ten more years Linux will have maybe 3% of the desktop.

Ubuntu will probably be gone or combined with another distro.

Things will be pretty much as they are now. Most of the uses of Linux will continue to be embedded and servers.

davahmet
September 11th, 2007, 05:16 PM
Microsoft releases it's newest OS, codenamed "WinBuntu" based on Ubuntu 17.04. Although Windows became the world's largest Linux distribution in 2010, it still has not delivered the often promised new WinFS. Richard Stallman issues a furious public release, demanding that it should referred to as GNU/WinBuntu.

FuturePilot
September 11th, 2007, 05:17 PM
In 10 years:

Microsoft, after several unsuccessful Windows releases starting with Vista back in 2007, is slowly declining. Bill Gates left the company nine years ago and his successor, Steve Ballmer, has been ruining the company and has been forced to give up his position as CEO.

Apple has just released their Quad-core iMac with the standard 30 inch screen and a five Terabyte harddrive. The iPod classic is now gone and is replaced with an iPod Touch with 100 GB of flash memory. They currently have 40% of the desktop computer market.

Ubuntu is now on version 17.04 and is beta testing 17.10, now with support for holographic displays. GNOME has released version 3 of their Desktop Enviroment with Compiz-Fusion built in. Ubuntu still fits on one CD and currently had 25% of the market.

You never know...
I like the sound of that.

Sporkman
September 11th, 2007, 05:43 PM
I also see white haired bloggers claiming this will be the year of Linux... Again.:)

:lol:

karellen
September 11th, 2007, 06:21 PM
I started using Linux around 11 years ago. Ten years ago the big distros were Slackware, Suse, Redhat, Debian and the newcomer Mandrake.

Linux was about 1% of the desktop. It was beginning to get corporate attention.

So I I had to make a prediction in ten more years Linux will have maybe 3% of the desktop.

Ubuntu will probably be gone or combined with another distro.

Things will be pretty much as they are now. Most of the uses of Linux will continue to be embedded and servers.

very well said, I totally agree with what you've written

karellen
September 11th, 2007, 06:22 PM
Microsoft releases it's newest OS, codenamed "WinBuntu" based on Ubuntu 17.04. Although Windows became the world's largest Linux distribution in 2010, it still has not delivered the often promised new WinFS. Richard Stallman issues a furious public release, demanding that it should referred to as GNU/WinBuntu.

:lolflag:

tvrg
September 11th, 2007, 06:30 PM
I started using Linux around 11 years ago. Ten years ago the big distros were Slackware, Suse, Redhat, Debian and the newcomer Mandrake.

Linux was about 1% of the desktop. It was beginning to get corporate attention.

So I I had to make a prediction in ten more years Linux will have maybe 3% of the desktop.

Ubuntu will probably be gone or combined with another distro.

Things will be pretty much as they are now. Most of the uses of Linux will continue to be embedded and servers.

my point exactly only much better written! thanks

FuturePilot
September 11th, 2007, 06:35 PM
I started using Linux around 11 years ago. Ten years ago the big distros were Slackware, Suse, Redhat, Debian and the newcomer Mandrake.

Linux was about 1% of the desktop. It was beginning to get corporate attention.

So I I had to make a prediction in ten more years Linux will have maybe 3% of the desktop.

Ubuntu will probably be gone or combined with another distro.

Things will be pretty much as they are now. Most of the uses of Linux will continue to be embedded and servers.

I don't see Ubuntu disappearing.
You mentioned a few other distros, they are still here, so why would Ubuntu disappear in 10 years?

phrostbyte
September 11th, 2007, 06:36 PM
Ubuntu will have 99% marketshare, and Bill Gates and Steve Ballmer will be tried for "crimes against humanity"!

j/k

Or am I? :)

tvrg
September 11th, 2007, 06:36 PM
not disappearing, debian and redhat and suse and slack are still around, just no longer the hot l33t ****

reckless2k2
September 11th, 2007, 06:37 PM
as evil as microsoft. by that time we will all be using something else complaining about the golden age of ubuntu. when it was free and everyone loved it. haha.

LowSky
September 11th, 2007, 06:38 PM
in ten years... um ubuntu... will be at its 17.10 release... availible from all major computer manufacturers.


what else will be occuring...

i'll be 33 and a billionair..

Windows will be almost ready to release a RC2 of what ever replaces Vista....

Apple will be releasing the iPerson, a cool android that plays music and does your housework, but need iTunes...

cell phones will be directly linked to your brain, so now every will look like that crazy guy who shouts to himself....

Jesus will come back from the dead with his pal Muhammed and Moses, but all three will be killed by religious fundamenalist for some reason or another

bellbottoms and big collared shirts will be popular again

the world banks will finally openly admit they control the world

I start build my mansion on the moon (i'm rich remember)

Sporkman
September 11th, 2007, 06:42 PM
in ten years... um ubuntu... will be at its 17.10 release... availible from all major computer manufacturers.


what else will be occuring...

i'll be 33 and a billionair..

Windows will be almost ready to release a RC2 of what ever replaces Vista....

Apple will be releasing the iPerson, a cool android that plays music and does your housework, but need iTunes...

cell phones will be directly linked to your brain, so now every will look like that crazy guy who shouts to himself....

Jesus will come back from the dead with his pal Muhammed and Moses, but all three will be killed by religious fundamenalist for some reason or another

bellbottoms and big collared shirts will be popular again

the world banks will finally openly admit they control the world

I start build my mansion on the moon (i'm rich remember)


That post is absolutely, ridiculously preposterous!...









Bellbottoms?? Popular again??? Unbelievably absurd!!

igknighted
September 11th, 2007, 06:57 PM
Was Gentoo ever a popular distro?

The other two were created for financial gain. Ubuntu, however, was started not to make money, but to create a user-friendly distro.

I don't see Ubuntu leaving anytime soon.

Mandriva was almost exactly like Ubuntu in the early 00's. It was the must-have for new linux users, the creme de la creme if you will. The company behind the distro (similar in relation to canonical's relationship with ubuntu) made some business decisions that put the community off. Coupled with a decline in quality, it lost its favor from about 2004-2006. The company went though major turmoil and almost went under. It emerged from this about a year ago with a new sense of purpose. From mandriva 2007 onward, they have once again been releasing some of the highest quality, easiest to use distros available. I think they have learned their lessons and have proven very resiliant, and in the not too distant future they could be back challenging for the #1 spot again.

karellen
September 11th, 2007, 06:59 PM
in ten years... um ubuntu... will be at its 17.10 release... availible from all major computer manufacturers.


what else will be occuring...

i'll be 33 and a billionair..

Windows will be almost ready to release a RC2 of what ever replaces Vista....

Apple will be releasing the iPerson, a cool android that plays music and does your housework, but need iTunes...

cell phones will be directly linked to your brain, so now every will look like that crazy guy who shouts to himself....

Jesus will come back from the dead with his pal Muhammed and Moses, but all three will be killed by religious fundamenalist for some reason or another

bellbottoms and big collared shirts will be popular again

the world banks will finally openly admit they control the world

I start build my mansion on the moon (i'm rich remember)

I like your post :)

jrusso2
September 11th, 2007, 07:27 PM
I don't see Ubuntu disappearing.
You mentioned a few other distros, they are still here, so why would Ubuntu disappear in 10 years?

I said disappeared or merged. Disappeared maybe because I think Mr. Shuttleworth has expectation of this making money which I think is a real long shot.

It might be merged into another distro because this happens a lot.

ThinkBuntu
September 11th, 2007, 07:29 PM
Defunct, unless it starts making money (SUSE, Redhat). Look at Yoper and Mandriva as examples of distros once very popular. In addition it's not independent enough right now. The future of Debian is critical for the future of Ubuntu, and I expect Debian to overtake Ubuntu on the desktop after a couple years.

Now, if we begin to see Ubuntu making significant improvements to Linux, especially technically, I may be inclined to change my mind.

jrusso2
September 11th, 2007, 07:29 PM
Mandriva was almost exactly like Ubuntu in the early 00's. It was the must-have for new linux users, the creme de la creme if you will. The company behind the distro (similar in relation to canonical's relationship with ubuntu) made some business decisions that put the community off. Coupled with a decline in quality, it lost its favor from about 2004-2006. The company went though major turmoil and almost went under. It emerged from this about a year ago with a new sense of purpose. From mandriva 2007 onward, they have once again been releasing some of the highest quality, easiest to use distros available. I think they have learned their lessons and have proven very resiliant, and in the not too distant future they could be back challenging for the #1 spot again.

I was actually one of the original Mandrake users. I thought it was the best distro ten years ago. And i continued using it until they started the Mandrake club thing.

I still just don't see them making a big comeback. They still offended a ton of users.

tvrg
September 11th, 2007, 07:31 PM
loads of features are already merged into other distro's, and lots of features from some other distro's are already merged in ubuntu, yay opensource

eg: fedora has compiz and x.org etc, they are far from ubu specific, and most of the patches make it to every distro out there.

as far as merging, most of the merging i've seen in my experience are dev's migrating to another project and applying the knowledge they learned..

who's to say some ubuntu dev's won't join debian or fedora, or xorg (not distro specific) or whatever.

It's all a pool of good dev's and great software, and every once in a while the pool gets stirred

tvrg
September 11th, 2007, 07:33 PM
I was actually one of the original Mandrake users. I thought it was the best distro ten years ago. And i continued using it until they started the Mandrake club thing.

I still just don't see them making a big comeback. They still offended a ton of users.

i totally agree, even if I had a free club subscription back then because of my translation contributions.

igknighted
September 11th, 2007, 07:34 PM
I was actually one of the original Mandrake users. I thought it was the best distro ten years ago. And i continued using it until they started the Mandrake club thing.

I still just don't see them making a big comeback. They still offended a ton of users.

I actually see it as a plus. I was not a Mandriva user before (I missed their glory days), but the fact that they made these awful mistakes and are now rebounding shows me that a) they are resiliant, a good characterstic, b) they are learning... they will never try that again, and c) they must be doing something right if people still want to use it.

I have started running Mandriva 2007.1 on my laptop because everything is supported perfectly. I am going to go to 2008 once it comes out (soon), so I am just kinda fiddling with it now, but it seems to be a very well put together distro, I have been very impressed.

rsambuca
September 11th, 2007, 07:41 PM
10 years? With the way things are heading, I don't even think that we will have operating systems on our rigs. Probably just a keyboard and mouse connected to a central terminal somewhere that runs the OS.

tehkain
September 11th, 2007, 07:43 PM
I will not be running 'Linux' in 10 years. I will hopefully be running another kernel that may be based off of linux. A microkernel.

I will be running a Free Software Operating System.

jrusso2
September 11th, 2007, 07:44 PM
10 years? With the way things are heading, I don't even think that we will have operating systems on our rigs. Probably just a keyboard and mouse connected to a central terminal somewhere that runs the OS.

What goes around comes around again. This was also the big news ten years ago.

Sun and Java. The network is the computer. Anyone remember that?

dpkg
September 11th, 2007, 07:46 PM
So let's say that there are 100% of users.
how much of them running linux system?

20%?

Sure I mean after 10 yrs,

hairshirt
September 11th, 2007, 07:46 PM
Winbuntu - Open Windows

tehkain
September 11th, 2007, 07:51 PM
10 years? With the way things are heading, I don't even think that we will have operating systems on our rigs. Probably just a keyboard and mouse connected to a central terminal somewhere that runs the OS. Well I doubt that - I would see it as more of a Gnome Online Desktop situation. A thin Client has a small embedded os anyway. So that can be a free os like a 'ubuntu mini'.

scalawag
September 11th, 2007, 07:53 PM
I too see Ubuntu as one of many popular distros 10 years from now. It will still be going strong.

And again, I too believe the question should be where do you see Linux in 10 years - Answer: On top.

Linux has evolved so rapidly and, in fact, wonderfully in just the last 6 years it's not funny. If this theme persists, I honestly believe that there will be no more 'Windows'...and frankly, in 20 years, I see the downfall of the Mac OS - The company will still be making hardware, mind you, but it will be tailered for the opensource market.

Once free, opensource software has been refined enough to rival/surpass proprietary software (and it's getting REAL close here lately,) the pretties like compiz, beryl, looking glass, they're going to tempt people just enough to come on over. And yes, I see the Mac outliving Winblows by ages.

And yes, I will be using Linux in 10 years. :guitar: Rock on

tvrg
September 11th, 2007, 07:59 PM
And yes, I will be using Linux in 10 years. :guitar: Rock on

can I call you in 5 years? ;)

maybe gnu herd will rule the world by then :D

dpkg
September 11th, 2007, 08:05 PM
can I call you in 5 years? ;)

maybe gnu herd will rule the world by then :D


Just leave the number and I will call you :P

igknighted
September 11th, 2007, 08:13 PM
can I call you in 5 years? ;)

maybe gnu herd will rule the world by then :D

You mean it might have made it to alpha testing by then?

tvrg
September 11th, 2007, 08:13 PM
Just leave the number and I will call you :P

that will probably be a massively expensive roaming call :D

glotz
September 11th, 2007, 08:24 PM
I certainly will. The real question is, will you still be running Ubuntu Breezy 5.10?

yorkie
September 12th, 2007, 12:50 AM
2017ad Ubuntu worlds number 1 o/s
Headline Microsoft o/s becomes Open Source record number of downloads.
Microsoft the "NEW LINUX"