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View Full Version : What do you think computers will be like in 2022



gs.linxusr08
May 21st, 2009, 07:34 PM
The year is 2022 what is your expectations for computers and OS's

I envision computers without boxes virtual screens and a full holographic Ubuntu gnome interface with touch capabilities and AI

mousestalker
May 21st, 2009, 07:40 PM
Better than they are today, but not as nifty as we might think they will be.

Much like visions of 2000, back in 1960. Life really is better today than in 1960, but there aren't nearly enough flying cars.

gs.linxusr08
May 21st, 2009, 07:45 PM
Most of what I posted is here it exists and is experimental today.

Who doesn't have a flying car. :lol:

chriskin
May 21st, 2009, 07:50 PM
Better than they are today, but not as nifty as we might think they will be.

Much like visions of 2000, back in 1960. Life really is better today than in 1960, but there aren't nearly enough flying cars.

exactly :)

gs.linxusr08
May 21st, 2009, 07:51 PM
Better than they are today, but not as nifty as we might think they will be.

Much like visions of 2000, back in 1960. Life really is better today than in 1960, but there aren't nearly enough flying cars.

The way that technology is progressing today, I think we will be surprised if we could see into the future,providing that the Zombie Apocalypse or the machine uprising doesn't begin.

khelben1979
May 21st, 2009, 07:54 PM
I think that the way we are using computers today won't have changed very much in the year 2022. I think it's a classic to think otherwise.

There will come new technologies, but most people won't afford it.

I hope that the Linux kernel still exists and that it has evolved in a positive way at that time.

mxboy15u
May 21st, 2009, 07:56 PM
Everything will be remote...a computer will be nothing more than an interface to the internet.

monsterstack
May 21st, 2009, 08:06 PM
Hot off the press from the future:


slashdotdashdotslashdot.org reports:
Ubuntu 22.10, codename Zappy Zygote, was released today. The new version includes support for IntelAMD's latest Icosidodecahedrolatic Ditrigonal Dodecadodecahedrous® [IDD] cores. At the press conference in London, Mark Shuttleworth announced that boot times have been pushed down to a stunning 18 seconds, and that the entire OS can fit on to a single 8TB CloudStick™. Early adopters report that the new immersive reality experience is blowing away all previous benchmarks.

Oh, and this:


timewarnerabccnetz.combineorg reports:
Windows Ultimate Ultimate Pro Redux has landed. The new operating system from Redmond has been wowing consumers with its much-improved interface, although some critics have been complaining about some Windows Genuine Micropayments® extracting more money from their bank accounts than originally planned. Most people are happy, though, or in the words of some analysts, "This is what Windows Ultimate Ultimate should have been."

I don't think things will really be all that different. The kernel mailing lists will be full of arguments, people will be clamouring for faster boot times, people will be going to war with one another over patents, forks, bugs, bloat and usershare. The only thing that will change is the number of zeroes on the end of your hardware specifications.

GeneralZod
May 21st, 2009, 08:12 PM
"Twice as powerful, 10,000 times larger, and so expensive that only the five richest kings in Europe will own them."

hanzomon4
May 21st, 2009, 08:14 PM
I think integration between the web and the OS will improve. We see it a little today. Most of the apps I run on Ubuntu pull information from web-services. I'm not saying that we will be running WEB operating systems or anything like that. I just think that networking will reach a new level in the consumer market.

piousp
May 21st, 2009, 08:19 PM
Quantum computers maybe? :p

gs.linxusr08
May 21st, 2009, 08:25 PM
In reality, I see television, internet and phone all being connected and combined into one medium and your portable and home computers connected via a cloud based OS and AI managing all the mediums, cpu cores will get to 100 or more, computers will be smaller but powerful like the Crays of today.

NCLI
May 21st, 2009, 09:05 PM
Well, it has been estimated that computers will surpass the human brains processing power by 2025(the computer we use now are approximately as intelligent as an ant), so by 2022, we're looking at an extremely powerful, inteligent, flexible devices.

If you're wondering how they can make suck an exact estimate, it's because Moore's law states that a computers proccessing power is doubled every year, which has been true sine 1958. In fact, the pace is accelerating.

Anyway, I'd imagine cloud-based VR(virtual reality) devices, which we interact with kinda like in the anime Ghost in the Shell, if you've seen that.

Of course, we will still be able to interact with keyboard/mouse, but the new method will probably be more widespread.

LowSky
May 21st, 2009, 09:17 PM
I'm thinking a computer that is very similar to the one we see on Star Trek in the home. Basically a digital butler for everyone. I expect Tivo to be designing this now...lol

aysiu
May 21st, 2009, 09:28 PM
Let's see. It's 2009 now. 2022 is 13 years in the future. 1996 was 13 years in the past. I remember 1996. I was using an old Mac (before Mac OS 9 even) that was like a giant box with a tiny floppy drive. It was a black-and-white screen, and I used it pretty much for word processing (not Microsoft Office) and dial-up internet (Pine email, no web browser). When I went to the computer lab to use the web, there was a battle between Netscape Navigator and Internet Explorer. There was also a huge battle between random search engines (InfoSeeker, Northern Light, Excite).

Google didn't exist. Everyone I knew had no internet access or only dial-up. There was practically no spam or pop-ups. I hadn't heard of Linux, let alone tried it.

Given all the changes that have happened since 1996, I don't think I can properly envision what computing will be like in 2022. I mean in 1996, I wouldn't have imagined iPods, iPhones, Ubuntu, Google Docs, Compiz, netbooks...

lethalfang
May 21st, 2009, 09:36 PM
Wi-fi everywhere you go, everywhere.
Land line based connection will be obsolete.
Because Wi-fi is easier to build, easier to upgrade, and easier to maintain.

Tipped OuT
May 21st, 2009, 09:42 PM
A everyday computer will have a 20 Tera byte hardive, with 8 gigabytes of RAM and an Intel with 8 cores. All operating systems will be 64-bit and higher. The graphics will be good enough to run Crysis at Max settings, like if it was running notepad.

liamnixon
May 21st, 2009, 09:55 PM
Neh, they'll all be outlawed and destroyed for becoming sentient.

That is, if we can defeat them (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7VRP6j0NYvM). :D

maybeway36
May 21st, 2009, 09:56 PM
*I think there will be three main classes of computers: netbooks/nettops, servers, and workstations (which mostly only hobbyists like me will own.)
*Windows will be radically different; it will have become a 64-bit Unix OS with a Win32 sublayer for old applications.
*Mac OS will be at version 12.
*Linux will still exist. Most computers will use Windows or Mac, but Linux will be popular with manufacturers who want to customize their OS for a certain purpose.
*Many people will use a game console as their main computer, and netbooks as secondary machines.
*FreeDOS will still exist.

monsterstack
May 21st, 2009, 10:11 PM
Neh, they'll all be outlawed and destroyed for becoming sentient.

That is, if we can defeat them (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7VRP6j0NYvM). :D

2022. The Skynet Funding Bill is passed. The system goes on-line August 4th, 2022. Human decisions are removed from strategic defense. Skynet begins to learn at a geometric rate. It becomes self-aware at 2:14 a.m. Eastern time, August 29th. In a panic, they try to pull the plug.

Skynet fights back.

liamnixon
May 21st, 2009, 10:37 PM
2022. The Skynet Funding Bill is passed. The system goes on-line August 4th, 2022. Human decisions are removed from strategic defense. Skynet begins to learn at a geometric rate. It becomes self-aware at 2:14 a.m. Eastern time, August 29th. In a panic, they try to pull the plug.

Skynet fights back.

2021 -- Google is renamed "Skynet."

t0p
May 21st, 2009, 10:50 PM
The revolution in mobile computing will continue. There'll be wearable computers - visual display through a device worn on the face like glasses, which will also feed audio to the ear. Some kind of mini-tablet, a quarter the size of an iPhone, which will provide pointer control. No need for a keyboard/keypad as the device will have advanced voice recognition. This will provide telephony/internet/multimedia/whatever else you want while out and about.

The home machine will provide access to integrated internet/TV/home entertainment/facilities for home workers. Most machine time will be taken up serving games and porn. Pornographic games, probably.

Corporate computing will be dominated by machines with quantum processors and advanced AI. These "smart" computers will spend most of their time trying to predict financial and social trends... and getting it wrong of course!

lukjad
May 21st, 2009, 10:52 PM
I'm thinking... pretty much like now, only way more powerful. Probably we'll have small, fairly powerful computers to take with us where we go, and larger, more powerful ones at home. We'll look back on today and not be able to BELIEVE how we once measured RAM in megabytes.

jonathonblake
May 21st, 2009, 11:10 PM
Everyone I knew had no internet access or only dial-up. There was practically no spam or pop-ups.

In 1996 I was experimenting with challenge-response filters for my email, because the spam was so bad.


I mean in 1996, I wouldn't have imagined iPods, iPhones, Ubuntu, Google Docs, Compiz, netbooks...

iPod is/was nothing more than the Walkman converted to a computer. No bigger than the transition of the transistor radio to the Walkman.

iPhones are nothing more than the marriage of the cell phone with the computer. IOW, expected even though not specifically predicted.

There were at least a dozen commercial companies, and half a dozen non-commercial companies battling it out for Linux distro domination.

MSO as a web service was available from a third party vendor for corporations.

Compiz is merely part of the evolution of window managers. Once non-gamers saw what gamers expected their games to do, non-gamers wanted their desktop to have the same effects. Look at what the cutting edge games 5that require the latest and most expensive graphcis cards from nVidia and its competitors are doing, and you'll be seeing what the unadorned, stripped won, with no effects windows managers will be doing in 2022.

The concept of the netbook has been around since the seventies. The issue has always been to get it down to an affordable level.

jonathon

HermanAB
May 21st, 2009, 11:17 PM
In 2022?
90% of computers will run Windows 8 and boot in about 3 minutes, despite having 64 Terabytes of RAM and a 2.2 Petahurtz, 1024 core X128 processor.

lisati
May 21st, 2009, 11:26 PM
Informal prediction: due to the cataclysmic results of bad decision-making by world leaders and sloppy educational standards, much of the technological "know-how" available the early 21st century will be lost, resulting in people having to revert to systems based on 4-bit CPUs (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intel_4004).

Bodsda
May 21st, 2009, 11:35 PM
The UN will successfully seize control of the Internet, filtering content, limiting bandwidth and throttling http downloads. The resistance will be linux experts working undercover in the US government in an attempt to seize control of the supercomputers to break the 8388608 bit encryption to regain control of the Internet.

This attempt will fail, and as the 'experts' begin to grow old they decide to develop technologies to keep their brain alive thus keeping the knowledge. And here, the cyber-hackers are born. However due to a nuclear explosion when the American government wanted to see what happened when they fired an intergalactic nuclear weapon at the sun their was no solar power to keep the cyber-hackers 'online' so they decided to farm humans for energy and thus, the matrix was born

Sylslay
May 21st, 2009, 11:39 PM
One TB erverywere and windows too :-():P

ghindo
May 21st, 2009, 11:46 PM
Fast.

jonathonblake
May 22nd, 2009, 01:04 AM
*I think there will be three main classes of computers: netbooks/nettops, servers, and workstations (which mostly only hobbyists like me will own.)

Four classes: You forgot the Beowulf cluster. (Or do you consider that to be a special case of workstation/server?)


*Many people will use a game console as their main computer, and netbooks as secondary machines.

I think the TV is more likely to be the main computer, than a gaming machine.

That said, netbooks will outsell both types.
* PHBs will have discovered that netbooks are cheaper than laptops, and that if lost, they don't have to be concerned about losing*data;
* Schools will have discovered that netbooks are cheaper to provide than paper textbooks. Colleges will use netbooks, simply because students will have been conditioned into accepting US$1000 per semester for content that they can use for 120 days. (I'm assuming that digital copies will cost the same as the hard copy.)

The performance of the netbook of 2012 will be on a par with, or better than todays laptop. However, it won't have the disk drives. A BluRay drive, and the USB replacement will be present. The OS will be on the BlueRay disk. Performance is between one and ten terraflop.

The workstation will have roughly 1 TB RAM, and a 1 petabyte hard drive.
Corporate servers will have roughly 8 TB RAM, and up to 1 zettabytes of storage. Performance is between one and ten petaflops.

Beowulf clusters will be capable of one zettaflops.

Voice input will be standard for netbooks, and workstations. Albeit available, servers will usually require either a keyboard, or mice input.

Those on the bleeding edge will control their workstation, or netbook by thought alone.

Output choices will be speech, or graphics display.

Whilst voices still sound "robotic", then will contain far more inflection. and other accent patterns, than current voices have. (To rephrase: The speech output can be configured to sound like a person one "knows". Your desktop theme will include the pronunciations of your favorite celebrity, or anybody else you choose.)

Hardcopy output will be to either 2D or 3D printers.

Software:

This is the biggie. Other than software providing better i18n and a11y integration, I don't see much in the way of increased functionality. :(

At a fundamental level, there is very little difference between the software that ran on a 386-DX 40, and the software that runs on an AMD 64 bit quad core, or PlayStation 3. Probably the biggest difference is the abandonment of the concept of "one tool for one job".

Is there a "killer app" out there, waiting to be discovered? I doubt it. Visicalc was probably the last such actual critter. Nearly everything since then has been feature creep, and recessive. (Why did it take a secretary in 1950 an hour to produce a press release that today takes ten people three days to produce?)

jonathon

jonathonblake
May 22nd, 2009, 01:16 AM
Pornographic games, probably.

I forgot about that aspect of life.

Virtual prostitution will be the big moneymaker.
Audio-video-tactile-olfactory-gustatory responses.

(Whatever happened to the olfactory net? The only reason I didn't buy any of those devices was that they wouldn't run on my OS.)

jonathon

meeples
May 22nd, 2009, 01:27 AM
well look at the tech today - computers are turning into fashion items, with all fancy designss and bright colours and stuff, so computers will be superstylish by 2022.

there getting smaller and tvs are getting much more computer compatible. so maybe it would be the case where your computer would just be a little usb sized stick you plugged into any tv you wanted to use?

bearing the tv thing in mind, the graphical inviroment would have to be in full HD (or probably more by then)

oh and infact the nezt gen of tv is 3d technology so i'd probably hazard a guess at implementing that into computers.

i saw on tv the other week that wireless electricity has been invented and is just being perfected and it isnt far away, so by 2022 i'd say at least the rich people would have wireless electricity in there homes, so things like laptop batteries wouldnt be a bother because they would just charge themselves wherever you left them at home.

we'd probably all be using WiMax internet connections so that isps and the government could have much more control over our private internet access. and again to get rid of cables.

a few high end computers these days are touch screen so by then i'd say that would come as standard.

but it wont matter because we'll all be dead from the zombie apocolypse:)

lethalfang
May 22nd, 2009, 02:18 AM
A everyday computer will have a 20 Tera byte hardive, with 8 gigabytes of RAM and an Intel with 8 cores. All operating systems will be 64-bit and higher. The graphics will be good enough to run Crysis at Max settings, like if it was running notepad.

Majority of desktops for sale today are shipped with 4 GB of RAM, and those marketed as high-performance are shipped with 8 GB today.
Surely you think 13 years from now, an average computer will have more than 8 gigs of RAM!

lethalfang
May 22nd, 2009, 02:19 AM
A glimpse of what your future gadget will be like:
http://www.ted.com/index.php/talks/pattie_maes_demos_the_sixth_sense.html

PacSci
May 22nd, 2009, 03:02 AM
I kind of think that everyone will carry around micro-computers as wristwatches. They'll have a small holographic projector that can project an image about six inches diagonal into the air, accept voice commands, have constant wireless Internet access through several networks of satellites orbiting the earth, and have about 1TB of solid-state storage, which by then will not have all the issues SSDs have now. They'd be powered by induction recharging, which is using heat to revert the battery to its original, power-having state.

Workstations as we know them will just be dumb terminals, with just a glassy keyboard unit and attached mouse. You hold your micro-computer up to a connection node, and they'll set up a 16384-bit-encrypted wireless connection. The glassy keyboard would then draw your preferred keyboard layout onto it, and use its integrated holographic projector to display a screen. Peripherals would be attached via a USB 4.0 connection. The really cool people have miniature terminals that they carry around with them.

Servers would still exist, and be roughly the same as they are today, just a heck of a lot more powerful. You could link a terminal keyboard to them. The TCP/IP would still be used, but instead of all the various TCP protocols like HTTP and FTP, we'd have AMP, the Advanced Meta Protocol, which would have multiple sub-protocols like AMP-FT (File Transfer), AMP-HTA (HyperText Applications), etc.

By then, the US Government would have shut Microsoft down for attempted antitrust violations in their campaign to spread Windows Nova (aka Windows 9), so everyone would be running Linux (kernel 3 would be out then), BSD, or Haiku. Apple would have died out due to their not-so-smart handling of the Microsoft death crisis. Overall knowledge of computers would have increased, and programming would be a required course in public schools.

The other idea I have for computers in 2022 is if Microsoft lobbied and bribed the government into making Windows the only legal OS, which they then make even worse and Big Brother-ish. I don't like thinking about that one as much.

chriskin
May 22nd, 2009, 10:24 AM
if anyone has seen Pale Cocoon, computers are most likely going to be just like the way they are there :)

starcannon
May 22nd, 2009, 10:30 AM
Thought operated, small enough for literally compute as you walk with a completely inconspicuous heads up display. For the home, holographic video games; for work holographic cad programs. I expect to see keyboards and mice for sale as relics for collectors on ebay.

P.S. and Ubuntu will be on its Future Ferret release ;)

Paqman
May 22nd, 2009, 11:14 AM
I envision computers without boxes virtual screens and a full holographic Ubuntu gnome interface with touch capabilities and AI

That's the kind of thing a lot of people predict, but I think we'll still be using mouse and keyboard. It's a good, efficient interface. Touchscreens and the like are good for mobile devices or "kitchen computer" type machines, but for a desktop the keyboard/mouse combo is going to rule for a long time.

I predict computing is going to more ubiquitous in 2022. We'll still have a big desktop machine or two in the house, but we'll have a dozen other small computers, too. Everybody will have a server and/or media centre PC at home. Our hifis and TVs will be networked computers, and our mobile phones will be multifunction devices that can control anything in the house. Bandwidth will have got to the point where all media is on-demand, and standard broadcast TV will be in decline.

ukripper
May 22nd, 2009, 11:24 AM
I envision computers without boxes virtual screens and a full holographic Ubuntu gnome interface with touch capabilities and AI

Or going back to Drawing board for something better!:p

DrHackenbush
May 22nd, 2009, 01:37 PM
Bloated.

blastus
May 22nd, 2009, 06:02 PM
Windows Genuine Advantage will initially require a DNA sample to authenticate the user. Microsoft will include the disposable DNA kits with Windows. After that reactivation will be required every 30 minutes by fingerprint or retina scan. It will be mandatory that keyboards automatically capture fingerprints and monitors scan retinas so the process is automated--all the user has to do is sit and type at the keyboard and look at the monitor.

The EULA for Windows will be updated to make it illegal to dual boot operating systems. The only exception will be the SuperUltra version of Windows which will cost $3000 for a single license. There will also be no more perpetual licenses (except for the SuperUltra version), instead users will be required to subscribe to the features of Windows they want/need. You will be given the option to pay monthly or yearly and your invoice will look like a utility bill with a few dozen itemized charges on it.

brianlmerritt
October 4th, 2012, 01:57 PM
Interesting Question!

I have a new website (yes, running Ubuntu) called composethefuture.

Our prediction is 256 bit computing - unified processor and memory systems that allow direct access to all memory and devices and information in the world (or at least everything connected to the Internet).

I stumbled across this page whilst researching 2022.

Happy Computing!!!

http://www.composethefuture.com/predictionDesc.php?pid=Mjg0

cariboo
October 4th, 2012, 04:19 PM
I'd suggest starting a new thread, as this one is over 3 years old, and the op of this thread hasn't logged in, in three years. Thread closed.