I suspect Wikipedia is not used equally much in different regions of the world, is there any breakdown on languages or regions?
I especially suspect Asian countries to be behind in Linux uptake. The often reported stories about Linux popularity in India and China has no backup in any numbers I can find.
Asia has almost half of the worlds Internet users.
Warning may contain MS bashing.
I have to reassert that, based on my surroundings, the majority of Ubuntu users are people who use it for its simplicity and reliability, not because they're geeks.
You can't assume just because you don't show it to average users in a way that they would adopt it and you don't see many Linux users that aren't geeks, that most Linux users are geeks. Just as much as I can't say that because I help a lot of average users find Ubuntu that the majority of them are average consumers.
Outside of solid numbers, all of these arguments are trivial and based on a very near-sighted bias.
The simple fact is that Canonical has stated several amounts of known users that are over the 10 million mark, Fedora actually tracks users and has over 20 million, and Ubuntu gets a lot more attention than Fedora, so it's safe to assume it has more than 20 million. So, that's at least 40 million, even if all the other distros are just people pretending to use it or develop it while using Ubuntu or Fedora.
40 million users out of a little over a billion computer users worldwide. That's 4.1 percent.
So, from the only numbers we can really count on in any degree, we have at least 4.1 percent market share collectively. If there are more Ubuntu users than Fedora users which is likely, and more than a million users of distros other distributions which is also fairly likely since SUSE actually sells their product to consumers, I believe, then it's likely more than 4.1 percent.
I think people vastly underestimate Linux's marketshare on the desktop, since they really have no other choice. If not everyone's using it, then certainly almost no one's using it.
Speculations have very little value here. Let's just suffice to say that there ARE users, and there are MANY of them.
Outside of this, the software is exceptional despite the given user base. Even if we only had a million users, the software is good enough for everyone else. The only thing holding it back is a few niche software providers like Adobe and the fact that no one has a clear presence to point to, even with Ubuntu being sold on DELL's website. We need VISIBILITY. Once we have that, the rest will follow.
Without it, we'll be playing the numbers game well after Linux gets 50 percent market share. And, to be honest, I hope that the market remains diversified; Even if that means it's only diversified between different package formats and distro features. XD
http://stats.wikimedia.org/ you probably will find what you're looking for.
http://www.internetworldstats.com/stats.htm has the stats are over 1.8 billion.
If you consider that the figures on http://distrowatch.com/ are pretty much proportional to the distribution user base, then Fedora's 20 Million represents about 4.8% of all linux users. That would suggest that there are over 400 million Linux users.
Of course that is an unsubstantiated theory, so even if we concluded, that Fedora represented 15% of all Desktop Linux installations, that would be no less than 130 million Linux Users. Given a total of1.8 billion users, 7.2% would be Linux users.
Last edited by DoubleClicker; July 12th, 2010 at 05:04 AM. Reason: fixed typo
Ah, I guess the last time I looked there were little over 1 billion. Must've been a few years back. So yeah, none of these claims are substantial, but it's pretty obvious that we at least have a few tens of millions. It'd be nice to see how many computers DELL has sold with Ubuntu on them.
Oh, and this obviously doesn't count all the Android users out there. Again, when we focus on these figures, we seem to miss the point. I think we can all agree that there are many more Linux users today than there were a year ago.
My household is 89% linux and 10% mac. Results don't add to 100% due to rounding.
And that is really the only statistic that matters.
Oooh Shiny: PopularPages
Unumquodque potest reparantur. Patientia sit virtus.
The IP addresses accessing the website don't tell how many unique users are accessing. DHCP can give you different addresses on every session.
I've had the same IP, for the entire time, that I've used Comcast.